GBPJPY
The GBPJPY currency pair is currently trading near critical levels. The Bank of England (BoE) keeps its policy rate steady at 4.00%, providing limited near-term support for the Pound. In contrast, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintains rates at 0.50%, but signals of potential future tightening could strengthen the Japanese Yen. This divergence creates downside pressure on GBPJPY.
From a technical standpoint, according to the Elliott Wave Theory, the GBPJPY pair has likely completed the final wave C of an ABC corrective structure in a diagonal pattern. This pattern suggests the Japanese Yen could gain short-term strength against the Pound, with the pair potentially pulling back towards 198.00 by 1 October.
In the short term, GBPJPY may continue to show choppy but downward-biased moves. However, the upcoming 1 October data releases and the BoJ’s policy stance will be crucial. If the Bank of Japan refrains from action, the Pound could regain momentum and drive GBPJPY higher towards the 201.00 resistance area.
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